Harmony Gold Mining Stock Performance
| HMY Stock | USD 19.79 1.20 5.72% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Harmony Gold holds a performance score of 8. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.03, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Harmony Gold will likely underperform. Please check Harmony Gold's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Harmony Gold's current trending patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Harmony Gold Mining are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak primary indicators, Harmony Gold showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (5.67) | Five Day Return (8.50) | Year To Date Return 1.18 | Ten Year Return 667.44 | All Time Return 296 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0099 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.21 | Dividend Date 2025-10-20 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-10-10 |
1 | Huntsman Updates Outlook for Q4 2025 Amid Unplanned Outages | 12/02/2025 |
2 | If You Invested 1000 in Harmony Gold a Decade Ago, This is How Much Itd Be Worth Now | 12/12/2025 |
3 | European Bank Heavyweight And Two Gold Stocks Are Global Leaders In Or Near Buy Zones | 12/16/2025 |
4 | Harmony Gold Mining Shares Gap Down Heres What Happened | 12/29/2025 |
5 | Ingevity Completes Divestiture of CTO Refinery Assets to Mainstream | 01/06/2026 |
6 | 4 Gold Stocks to Watch as Record Prices Extend Into 2026 | 01/12/2026 |
7 | Harmony Gold Mining Reaches New 1-Year High Time to Buy | 01/20/2026 |
8 | Harmony Gold says on track to meet H1 guidance despite mill motor failure - Seeking Alpha | 02/03/2026 |
9 | Jim Cramer Recommends Agnico Eagle Over Harmony Gold Mining | 02/10/2026 |
10 | Gold Ore Global Forecast Report 2026 A 35.72 Billion Market by 2032, Driven by Geological Complexity, Innovations in Processing, New Regulatory Measures, and Sh... | 02/17/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 4.7 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -12 B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 10.8 B |
Harmony Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,612 in Harmony Gold Mining on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 367.00 from holding Harmony Gold Mining or generate 22.77% return on investment over 90 days. Harmony Gold Mining is generating 0.4328% of daily returns assuming volatility of 4.1069% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Harmony, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Harmony Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Harmony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 19.79 | 90 days | 19.79 | about 62.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harmony Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.16 (This Harmony Gold Mining probability density function shows the probability of Harmony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Harmony Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Harmony Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harmony Gold Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Harmony Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harmony Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harmony Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harmony Gold Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harmony Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Harmony Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harmony Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harmony Gold Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harmony Gold Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Harmony Gold Mining has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Gold Ore Global Forecast Report 2026 A 35.72 Billion Market by 2032, Driven by Geological Complexity, Innovations in Processing, New Regulatory Measures, and Shifting Downstream Demand |
Harmony Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harmony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harmony Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harmony Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 629 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.1 B |
Harmony Gold Fundamentals Growth
Harmony Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Harmony Gold, and Harmony Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Harmony Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.19 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.30 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 12.12 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 624.58 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 8.21 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.32 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.18 X | ||||
| Revenue | 73.9 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 29.3 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 26.27 B | ||||
| Net Income | 14.38 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 13.1 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.97 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.23 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.85 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 22.65 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.44 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 13.11 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 77.5 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 14.58 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 4.14 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 3.47 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 2.03 B | ||||
About Harmony Gold Performance
Evaluating Harmony Gold's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Harmony Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Harmony Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 28.18 | 22.62 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.28 | 0.30 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.27 | 0.28 |
Things to note about Harmony Gold Mining performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Harmony Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Harmony Gold Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harmony Gold Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Harmony Gold Mining has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Gold Ore Global Forecast Report 2026 A 35.72 Billion Market by 2032, Driven by Geological Complexity, Innovations in Processing, New Regulatory Measures, and Shifting Downstream Demand |
- Analyzing Harmony Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Harmony Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Harmony Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Harmony Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Harmony Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Harmony Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Harmony Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Harmony Stock Analysis
When running Harmony Gold's price analysis, check to measure Harmony Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harmony Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Harmony Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harmony Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harmony Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harmony Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.